Joe Biden points out something that ought to concern us all:
“Mark my words,” the Democratic vice presidential nominee warned at the second of his two Seattle fundraisers Sunday. “It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. We’re about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here if you don’t remember anything else I said. Watch, we’re gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.”
“I can give you at least four or five scenarios from where it might originate,” Biden said to Emerald City supporters, mentioning the Middle East and Russia as possibilities. “And he’s gonna need help. And the kind of help he’s gonna need is, he’s gonna need you – not financially to help him – we’re gonna need you to use your influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it’s not gonna be apparent initially, it’s not gonna be apparent that we’re right.”
This is absolutely right. (Well, except for the ‘brilliant’ part.) Here’s the most likely scenario, in my opinion: a nuclear device—a missile, maybe, or a dirty bomb—is going to destroy a major Israeli population center. Obama will do nothing significant in response. But there are other possibilities: (1) Putin invades the Ukraine or the Baltic states. (2) Iran shuts down the Straits of Hormuz. (3) Chavez invades Colombia. (4) Hamas and Hezbollah attack Israel. (5) Radical Islamists launch major assaults in Thailand, Indonesia, Kashmir, or the Phillipines. (6) Al-Qaeda launches a major terror attack on the United States.
The probability of each of these scenarios rises dramatically if Obama wins the Presidency. Isn’t that a strong argument in favor of his opponent?
Two other things intrigue and trouble me about Biden’s statement. He’s saying this to get people ready for something, and he’s admitting that the administration’s response is going to upset people. I can (just barely) imagine a candidate pointing out the likelihood of a test to reassure people that the new leader will be ready and will not be found wanting. The act of saying so would itself lower the probability of the event taking place by warning our enemies that they had better not get the wrong idea.
But notice that Biden isn’t doing that. He’s not warning our adversaries that they’ll find Obama tough; he’s not reassuring the public that Obama will be tough. He’s warning us that Obama will do what appears to be the wrong thing. He’s saying, in other words, that Obama won’t be tough. That can only encourage our enemies and increase the probability of unpleasant scenarios.
Put this together with the more than $200 million that Obama has raised in small amounts, much of which appears to come from overseas sources, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, and other Middle Eastern countries, and you get a picture that I, for one, do not like at all.