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Archive for April, 2009

Debt Day—Already?

Today, the government runs out of money—money it receives in taxes, that is.  For the rest of the fiscal year—until October—we’ll be running on debt.  This is the earliest debt day in history.  The supposedly profligate Bush administration and Republican Congress put it into July one year; usually, it’s been in September.  John Hinderaker:

The Obama administration is wasting our children’s birthright on stupid government spending, authorized by legislation that not a single member of Congress read before voting for it. And we haven’t even gotten to cap and trade and socialized medicine yet. Barack Obama is Bernie Madoff in 1998.

Note to the electorate: This was entirely predictable.  If you care at all about fiscal responsibility, never vote for a Democrat.

UPDATE: If you haven’t seen this chart, it will help to put things in perspective:

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How we used to be…. Joseph P. Duggan recalls life at The Richmond Times-Dispatch back in the 1960s.  I lived in Richmond between 1963 and 1970, reading the Times-Dispatch faithfully.  I even attended Douglas Southhall Freeman High School.  I remember reading V. Dabney and James J. Kilpatrick, and relishing the cartoons of Jeff MacNelly.  Their America had its flaws.  But it was a civilized place where knowledge, reason, and liberty were valued and people’s rights, concerns, and feelings were respected.  It believed in its people and in itself.  I miss it.

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Tax Attack

From a friend in this morning’s email:

Wait a minute now, I didn’t authorize ATTACKS on the Pirates.

I authorized A TAX on the pirates.

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Job Losses, Animated

Here’s a nifty animation showing the disappearance of jobs over the past two years.  Two observations: (1) Texas is largely immune, which is why it’s difficult for us to get a sense of the condition of the rest of the country, and maybe part of the reason that successionist sentiment is on the rise—why are you guys saddling us with YOUR problems? (Of course, the main reason is simply that Texans want to preserve their vision of America as a land of individual freedom and opportunity; if the rest of the U.S. is willing to give that up, so much the worse for them, but at least Texas can remain true to it.) (2) Starting in November, it’s the blue states on the coasts that take the biggest hit.  Poetic justice in that, I think.

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The inestimable Richard Fernandez today, expanding on the Confucian theme that the first task of governing is to rectify names:

Defeat begins in the mind. It starts in the way we think; or rather when we don’t: when it is no longer possible to call things by the right names. When the enemy becomes a “militant” and pirates become “raiders”. It continues when car bombs become romantically characterized  as the “poor man’s F-16″. The end nears when mass murderers can don the mantle of victims who “progressive” lawyers hasten to defend; and indeed demand compensation for. Finally it reaches the stage when political organizations sworn to the destruction of everything become, through some alchemic passage of the Nobel Prize magic wand, esteemed “partners for peace”. The farcical part of the any catastrophe often lies in what people are urged to want; the tragic part occurs when they get it.

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The Torture Travesty

A lot of opposition to Bush administration interrogation policies seems to depend on an absolute moral prohibition on torture.  Jeff Jacoby defends such a position in The Boston Globe, insisting that he would not condone torture even to save a city, even while, not entirely consistently, noting,

Context matters. Actions that are indisputably beyond the pale under normal conditions – waterboarding a prisoner, for example – can take on a very different aspect when conditions are abnormal, as they surely were in the terrifying wake of 9/11.

Alexander Pruss holds an absolutist position, too, “that torture is literally always wrong,” on the basis of Vatican II.  Richard Fernandez finds these positions “morally sustainable,” even though he does not share them.  Fernandez gives the perspective of one who has been close to the issue:

When I ran safehouses in the anti-Marcos days the first order of business whenever a cell member was captured by the police was to alert the surviving members, move the safehouse and destroy all links to the captured person. That’s because everyone knew that there was a great probability that the captive would talk under duress, however great his bravery and resistance. Nobody I know, or have heard of who has had experience in real-life situations has ever said, “our cell should continue as usual and the safehouse should remain open, despite the fact that one of our own is being tortured by the secret police, because I read in the New York Times that coercion never works.” The probability is that torture works and for that reason its use constitutes a moral dilemma; and the reason why Jacoby believes he is expressing a noble sentiment when he forswears it even as “a last and desperate option” in the War on Terror.

But there was another oath everyone in the underground tacitly made, which is structurally identical to Jacoby’s own. It went something like this: “I promise never to reveal the whereabouts of my companions to the secret police however brutally they torture me.” We all accepted this charge as a moral statement of intention, without deceit or mental reservation, yet without having the slightest certainty that we could carry it out. And the reason for the uncertainty was simple. Nobody actually knows how long he can last until he’s actually in the situation. Anybody who tells you different is probably a liar or fooling himself. Some will go further — much further — under duress than they think. Others will break right away. But nobody can predict it in advance.

It is not often realized that the oath not to break under torture is very similar to Jacoby’s promise never to use coercion even as “a last and desperate option” against an brutal enemy. Fighting terrorism, like the promise never to break under duress, is a test of how much one can endure without crossing a line. And when fear and survival are stake, I am not sure at all what lines people won’t cross….

It is one thing to swear that you will not divulge secrets to the Marcos police under any circumstances, while sitting safe in a bolthole, with a .38 in your lap. It’s quite another to say nothing when your interrogator is prying your eyeball out with a penknife. It is one thing to say I won’t use coercive methods even as “a last and desperate option” in the War on Terror, but entirely another matter to maintain that stance when your child is gasping for breath through his anthrax ridden lungs. Anybody who tells you different is probably a liar or fooling himself. Some will go further — much further — under duress than they think. Others will break right away. But nobody can predict it in advance.

There is one sense in which I unreservedly sympathize with Cheney’s request to reveal the “successes” of the coercive interrogation program: we ought to know all the facts before making up our minds about moral stances. We ought to look everything in the face. I find it curious that a society which thinks that the CIA’s destruction of the video record of the water boarding sessions is immoral can simultaneously maintain that showing the video of Daniel Pearl being beheaded is inflammatory or inappropriate. Let’s see it all.  They are two sides of the same coin.

I fear that one day, perhaps soon, and perhaps under Barack Obama’s Presidency, that an attack on US soil will be made which will dwarf 9/11 both in destructiveness and brutality. And I predict that when it happens, many of the people who are now baying for the prosecution of Bush era officials will be demanding that they be protected — at all costs. They demand protection not because they are morally inferior, intellectually infirm or ideologically corrupted, but because survival is the first rule of life. Anybody who has gone through a hospital ward and heard the patients, request and then demand their pain medication knows that to the question “how far can you go?”, there is no easy answer. Nobody really knows the meaning of “last and desperate” until he’s been there.

Partly for these kinds of reasons, I think it’s much harder to sustain an absolutist position on torture than most people think.

Immanuel Kant famously said that it was always, absolutely, immoral to lie, even to someone seeking the whereabouts of your friend in order to kill him.  “Let the consequences be what they may,” Kant writes; it makes no moral difference whether a murder results from your truthtelling.  Here’s the thing: Almost everyone thinks that Kant was wrong about this.  Surely you can tell a lie to save your friend.  Any moral theory that tells you otherwise needs to be revised.

In principle, however, an absolutist stance on torture is committed to exactly the same position, and fails for exactly the same reason.  Of course, one might deny that lying to a murderer is morally equivalent to waterboarding him.  But consider something mild that causes discomfort—plucking a hair from someone’s head, say, without that person’s consent.  It’s normally wrong to do that because of the discomfort and invasions of liberty and personal space involved.  There is merely a difference in degree between that and any practice, such as waterboarding, that causes discomfort without causing any lasting physical damage.  Isn’t the absolutist committed to saying that it’s morally unacceptable to pluck a hair from someone’s head even to save a city?  Since consequences don’t matter—even to save the world?

The ancient Chinese sage Lieh Tzu proclaimed that he would not pluck a single hair from his head to save the entire world.  Contemporary absolutists on torture are committed to something similar—that they would not pluck a single hair from a mass murderer’s head to save the entire world.  I think that’s insane.  My sympathies are with Representative Hoekstra, who is calling for an investigation of the harms to national security that have resulted from the President’s revelations of classified material over the objections of his own appointees.

UPDATE: Apparently I’m not alone; Rasmussen is showing that a strong majority think that the torture memos’ release has harmed the national security of the United States.

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Public Zombie Theory?

Andrew Klavan talks about The Night of the Living Government, the horror movie currently starring Barack Obama, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi, and playing somewhere very near you.  It’s not only funny; it’s a great introduction to political philosophy and public choice theory.  And, it’s got a great soundtrack (Bach’s Toccata in D Minor, of course).

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The Problem with Pakistan

While Homeland Security frets about “right-wing extremists” and CNN expresses horror at comparisons between Obama and Hitler, real problems are threatening our security at an alarming rate.  Caroline Glick talks about the imminent collapse of Pakistan.  Think for a moment about what it will mean to have nuclear weapons under the control of the Taliban and al-Qaeda.

One of the few convictions that still unifies national security strategists across the ideological spectrum is that it would be a global calamity of the first order if al-Qaida gets its hands on nuclear weapons.

Unfortunately, due to the rapid demise of nuclear-armed Pakistan as a coherent political unit, this nightmare scenario is looking more possible than ever. Indeed, if events continue to move in their current direction, it is more likely than not that in the near future, the Taliban and al-Qaida will take possession of all or parts of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal….

Given the failure of the US’s political strategies of securing Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal by supporting Pakistan’s government, and fighting the Taliban and al-Qaida in Afghanistan, it is becoming apparent that the only sure way to prevent the Taliban/al-Qaida from taking control over Pakistan’s nuclear weapons is to take those weapons out of commission.

The US has two basic options for accomplishing this goal. It can send in forces to take control of Pakistan’s nuclear installations and remove its nuclear arsenal from the country. Or, it can destroy Pakistan’s nuclear installations. Both of these options – which are really variations of the same option – are extremely unattractive. It is far from clear that the US military has the capacity to take over Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal and it also unclear what the ultimate effect of a military strike against its nuclear arsenal would be in terms of lives lost and areas rendered uninhabitable due to nuclear fallout.

As Glick notes, the problem with Pakistan parallels the problem with Iran.  Soon, two sets of extremists may have nuclear weapons.  The result will be devastating to the security of the free world.  The probability that the weapons will be used to attack Israel, the United States, U. S. bases, or targets in Europe is extremely high.  Even if they are not used, they will give extremists a tool for blackmailing all of the above.  They will encourage other nations of questionable intentions and stability (e.g., Saudi Arabia) to develop nuclear weapons to restore the balance of power.

Someone needs to start making some hard decisions.  “Gird your loins,” indeed.

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I attended both Austin Tea Parties on Wednesday.  The first, held at City Hall around lunchtime, drew about 1,500 people.  Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams and Governor Rick Perry gave outstanding speeches.

Don't Mess with Texas Tea Party, Austin

Don't Mess with Texas Tea Party, Austin

There were some excellent signs, including this one, which was my favorite:

Stop Rewarding Failure!

Stop Rewarding Failure!

Margaret Thatcher quotations are always good:

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We had protest babes.  And, as you can see, the crowd was not “lily-white”; in fact, it looked pretty representative of Austin.

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We also had people who were especially good with puns.

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There were many more people—around 6,000!—and many more signs later this afternoon at the State Capitol.  The picture of Obama as leader of GM is priceless.

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The children got into the act, too—sometimes with signs that were a bit too big!

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A lot of the signs had thoughtful, much-needed messages:

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Heroes of the Alamo

Heroes of the Alamo

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Some gave interesting diagnoses of the problem, and proposed solutions.

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We had protest babes here too:

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A few people seemed more concerned with guns than economics.

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Once the crowd started moving, it stretched all the way from the steps of the Capitol to the Colorado River.

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Spirits remained high as we crossed the bridge to dump the tea in Lady Bird Lake.

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Austin!

UPDATE: My friend Lefty has an excellent slideshow here, with a better shot of the Obama/GM sign.  And you can download a video of the crowd singing here.

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texas-flag“Don’t Mess with Texas!” reads Drudge’s headline. Governor Rick Perry affirmed Texas’s sovereignty:

“I believe that our federal government has become oppressive in its size, its intrusion into the lives of our citizens, and its interference with the affairs of our state,” Gov. Perry said. “That is why I am here today to express my unwavering support for efforts all across our country to reaffirm the states’ rights affirmed by the Tenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. I believe that returning to the letter and spirit of the U.S. Constitution and its essential 10th Amendment will free our state from undue regulations, and ultimately strengthen our Union.”

A number of recent federal proposals are not within the scope of the federal government’s constitutionally designated powers and impede the states’ right to govern themselves. HCR 50 affirms that Texas claims sovereignty under the 10th Amendment over all powers not otherwise granted to the federal government.

It also designates that all compulsory federal legislation that requires states to comply under threat of civil or criminal penalties, or that requires states to pass legislation or lose federal funding, be prohibited or repealed.

There will be a tea party protest tomorrow, April 15, at 11:30 at Austin City Hall, where Governor Perry, Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams, and others will speak, and another at 4:00 on the south steps of the Capitol.

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