Austin Bay predicts that terrorists in Iraq will attempt a Tet offensive within the next six months, to sway public opinion in the United States just as the North Vietnamese were able to do in 1968 when their devastation in battle was spun in the media as a Communist victory. (HT: Instapundit.) That seems plausible, though I would expect it to fall within the height of the Presidential campaign, more like nine months from now. As Bay notes, however, it’s not clear that the terrorists any longer have the ability to coordinate a complex series of attacks.